LOS ALTOS, CA – Third-quarter PC shipments were up 15.5% year-over-year, says research firm
Henderson Ventures.
PC growth has rebounded with the help of low-cost shipments to the emerging economies, along with the slowly growing acceptance of
Microsoft’s Vista operating system, and global PC shipments growth has been accelerating, reports Henderson.
For 2007, unit shipments are predicted to hit 264 million, a growth rate of 11.6%, says the firm.
The traditional two-year cycle is forecast to continue through 2009, but without a major dent in the expected growth rate for next year.
The introduction of WiMax is expected to have a positive impact on PC purchases in 2009; as WiMax becomes an accepted technology, laptop computer owners will increasingly want to acquire the capability via a new portable PC, much as PC owners traded up when WiFi became available, says Henderson.
Also, the impact of the Vista OS is likely to peak in 2009. However, global saturation, including many emerging markets, will tamp down the achievable growth rates for the foreseeable future. And even though a sizeable 10.2% increase is predicted for 2009, that pace is far below peak levels achieved in the past, including the 17.9% burst in 2005, reports the researcher.