Market News

SAN JOSE – North America-based manufacturers of semiconductor equipment posted $1.16 billion in orders in December (three-month average basis), down 26.7% year-over-year and up 18.5% sequentially, says SEMI.

Read more ...

STAMFORD, CT – After two quarters of positive growth, worldwide PC shipments totaled 92.2 million units in the fourth quarter of 2011, down 1.4% year-over-year, says Gartner. These figures were in line with Gartner’s earlier forecast of a 1% decline for the quarter.

Similarly, IDC said worldwide PC shipments totaled 92.7 million in the fourth quarter, down 0.2% year-over-year.

Hard-disk drive shortages triggered by the October floods in Thailand had a limited impact on fourth-quarter PC shipments and prices, according to Gartner. However, Gartner analysts said a major impact will be felt, and this is expected to materialize in the first half of 2012, and potentially continue throughout the year. These shortages will temporarily lower PC shipment growth during 2012.

IDC says shortages of hard disk drives added to challenges from slow economic conditions and competition from other consumer electronics, including media tablets, eReaders and mobile phones in the fourth quarter. Results reflected a year-over-year decline of 0.2% for the quarter and growth of 1.6% for the full year, the firm notes. This was in line with IDC projections of a 0.6% decline for the fourth quarter and 1.5% growth for all of 2011.

Despite supply chain constraints wrought by the flooding in Thailand, most regions slightly exceeded forecast, and most Tier 1 PC vendors had access to sufficient HDD supply, though smaller PC vendors and retail channels experienced drive shortages, according to IDC.

IDC expects the market to slow further in the first quarter of 2012, as the full impact of the HDD shortage is felt, and then recover to greater than 15% growth in the fourth quarter. Annual 2012 shipments are currently projected at 371 million, up 5.4%, followed by growth in high teens during the first half of 2013 and annual growth over 11%.

Ultrabooks were introduced during the fourth quarter, but didn’t draw much attention yet, says Gartner. However, based on the response at the International Consumer Electronics Show this week, 2012 could be a large debut for ultrabooks, the firm says.

HP retained its No. 1 position in the fourth quarter, despite a shipment decline of 16.2% year-over-year, says Gartner.

Although HP stepped back from the suggestion of spinning off its PC division, the move nevertheless affected buyers' confidence as reflected in their results, according to IDC. The company's shipments fell 16% year-over-year, says the firm, with some of the market share picked up by aggressive competitors, in particular Lenovo. However, with a new CEO and a refocus on business stabilization, the company may be able to recover its stride in coming quarters.

Lenovo experienced the strongest growth among the top five vendors, as its PC shipments grew 23% during the period, and it further cemented its place as the No. 2 vendor in global PC shipments, says Gartner. The company’s growth was attributed to aggressive pricing.

Lenovo’s volume reached 13 million, a record high, with growth over 36%, according to IDC. Lenovo has continued to develop its channel reach in markets outside of China, while also making inroads in EMEA through its recent acquisitions and reorganization, the firm says.

Dell had shipment growth in most regions during the quarter, says Gartner. While the consumer market remained a weak point, Dell enjoyed stable growth in the professional sector, driven by upgrades to Windows 7. Asia/Pacific continued to be the major growth market for Dell, as it achieved 30% growth in the region, says Gartner. Dell’s focus remains a pursuit of higher margin opportunities in other key markets, says IDC.

Asus stayed in the No. 5 position, despite generally weak consumer sales. Asus’s shift from mini-notebooks to regular notebooks was successful, as close to 80% of Asus mobile PC shipments were regular notebooks during the quarter, says Gartner. The firm racked up strong gains across all regions, and seems to have overcome the difficulties it saw in past quarters with clearing a backlog of Mini Notebooks, says IDC.

Acer continued to see volume slide as a result of its past reliance on mini notebook sales, says IDC. Consumer sales through retail channels remain constrained in the face of the pullback in consumer spending, but the vendor still managed to make gains in Asia/Pacific.

In the US, PC shipments totaled 17.9 million units, down 5.9% year-over-year, according to Gartner. Consumers’ attention was diverted toward other product categories, especially smartphones and media tablets. All-in-one desktop PCs drew consumers’ attention during the holiday season. The main attractions were large screen sizes and high-definition viewing capability.

The US market had its second worst year in history in 2011, dropping nearly 5% from 2010, according to IDC. 2011 was particularly affected by HDD supply constraints, weak demand, and a difficult competitive landscape. The fourth quarter's HDD supply shortage has had a notable effect on fourth-quarter shipments, the firm says.

HP maintained the No. 1 position in the US PC market in the fourth quarter, but Dell gained ground as HP lost substantial market share, says Gartner. Apple enjoyed the strongest growth among the top five vendors. Lenovo’s US PC shipments grew 40% year-over-year, but its shipment volume was not enough to squeeze into the top five ranking. (It was in the sixth position.)

PC shipments in EMEA totaled 28.9 million units, down 9.6% compared to the same period in 2010. The EMEA PC market experienced its fourth consecutive quarter of decline, resulting in year-end 2011 shipments decreasing 7.2% from 2010. Western Europe saw weak consumer growth, as an uneasy economic environment squeezed consumer spending on PCs, according to Gartner.

The EMEA PC market continued to contract for the fourth consecutive quarter, although the decline was not as strong as previously expected, says IDC. The market remained adversely impacted by the ongoing debt crisis in the Euro-zone, which led to more cautious business investments, while consumers' budget continued to be captured by media tablets and smartphones, particularly in Western Europe. Due to the sustained weakness in demand, the impact of the HDD shortage was moderate in the fourth quarter, and key players managed to secure the supplies they needed, says IDC.

In Asia/Pacific, PC shipments reached 30.4 million units, up 8.5% year-over-year, according to Gartner. The market performance was below Gartner’s anticipated growth of 10.6%. Preliminary findings show weaker shipment growth in China, India and Thailand.

Asia/Pacific maintained healthy demand, as most markets met expectations. China volume came in higher than expected, but other key markets cooled, says IDC.
The PC market in Latin America grew 11.2%, as shipments reached 9.3 million units. Because whitebox PC vendors make up a large portion of Latin America’s PC market, last quarter Gartner expected Thailand’s HDD shortage to moderately affect growth in Latin America in the near term. Thus far, anecdotal evidence indicates that many local vendors had quickly ordered sufficient inventory to exit the fourth quarter unaffected, according to the firm.

PC shipments in Japan declined 2.3%, as shipments totaled 3.9 million units, says Gartner. This was better than Gartner’s earlier projection of an 8% decline. The professional market showed a high double-digit decline, while the consumer market saw mid-single-digit growth.

Japan came in slightly better than expected, but the market still dipped 7% year-over-year for the fourth quarter and ended 2011 with fewer shipments than 2010, according to IDC. The slowing of Windows XP upgrades coupled with uncertainties wrought by slowing exports led to cutbacks across many segments.

For the year, worldwide PC shipments totaled 352.8 million units, up 0.5% from 2010. A weak consumer PC market, particularly in mature markets, was a major contributor to this stagnation, despite good growth in the professional market, says Gartner. Emerging markets grew steadily, driven by low initial PC penetration.
Among the top five PC vendors, Lenovo took over the No. 2 spot from Dell. Lenovo continued to gain market share via aggressive pricing and acquisitions, namely of NEC and Medion. Asus climbed from sixth to fifth, replacing Toshiba, says Gartner.

AUSTIN, TX -- Laminate substrates and leadframe production will outpace silicon wafer growth in 2012, a new report asserts.

Read more ...

EL SEGUNDO – Chip inventories held by semiconductor suppliers declined in the third quarter, putting a halt to the steady expansion of the previous seven quarters, as the industry cut production to reduce oversupply, says IHS iSuppli.

Read more ...

SANTA CLARA, CA – Tablet PCs are taking a bigger bite out of the mobile PC market, with shipments now making up 25.5% of all mobile PCs in 2011, says NPD DisplaySearch.

Tablets grew 256% year-over-year to 72.7 million units, as strong demand in the third quarter appeared to be a prelude to equally vigorous buying patterns in the fourth, says the research firm.

Introductions of significantly competitive new devices in the fourth quarter, strong demand for incumbents, and additional distribution channels have been catalysts for accelerated tablet PC shipment growth.

NPD DisplaySearch has slightly lowered its notebook PC shipment forecast in 2011 to 187.5 million units, up 12% year-over-year.

Mini-note PC shipments are expected to reach 25.2 million units, up 20% compared to the same period in 2010. Overall mobile PC shipments in 2011 are projected to reach 285.4 million units, up 31% year-over-year.

By 2017, notebook PC shipments are forecast to reach 432 million units, and tablet PC shipments are projected to reach 383.3 million units.

Ultrabooks are an emerging form factor that is expected to contribute to demand in later years of the forecast. Demand for ultrabooks will be driven by consumer interest in sleek design and convenience like instant-on and long battery life, says the firm. For the next two years, the premium price points of Ultrabooks will temper demand, and there may be some supply limitations in production of displays thin enough for Ultrabooks.

Tablet PC shipments will be driven by increasingly powerful multi-core processors, mature operating systems, growing application libraries, and higher resolution panels. NPD DisplaySearch forecasts that tablet PCs with 250 to 300 pixel per inch panels will make up nearly 25% of shipments in 2012.

Mobile PC shipments into emerging regions are growing, with 2011 shipments projected to be 138 million units, up 48% year-over-year, and increasing to 452.8 million by 2017. Mobile PC shipments into mature regions are estimated to reach 147.5 million units in 2011 and grow to 371.6 million units by 2017.

Mobile PC shipments will be up in late 2012 and 2013 with the introduction of Microsoft’s Windows 8 operating system and new mobile processors from Intel.

SANTA CLARA, CA – After a tepid 2011, global TV unit shipments are expected to rise 2% to 254 million units this year, on higher demand for LCD models.
That’s up over the 0.1% growth in 2011, says NPD DisplaySearch, which also notes demand for flat panel models is moderating.

Flat panel TVs continue to grow, but at a more gradual pace of 2% to 4% annually, as the rapid transition from CRT to LCD and plasma nears an end, the firm says.
LCD TVs continue to be the dominant technology on a unit and revenue basis, and seem likely to capture even more market share because of a weaker outlook for plasma TVs going forward. As LCDs narrow the pricing gap with plasmas at many sizes, the demand for plasma has fallen. NPD DisplaySearch expects this to continue and has reduced its forecast for plasma TVs.

Large TV sizes also continue to show strong growth, with shipments of 40" and larger sets expected to grow 12% in 2012, while smaller sizes are forecast to decline 3%. A strong contributing factor to the growth of larger sizes, including an 18% increase in shipments of 50"-plus sets, is pricing. Sizes up to 50" will have average prices below $1,000 in 2012, and even 60"-plus sizes will fall below $2,000 for the first time, says the research firm.

During Black Friday holiday sales in the US, many 40" to 47" sets were below $500, and even 60" sets fell below $1,000, prompting robust unit sales, as consumers were attracted to the new price points.

Many consumers seem to be willing to give up features in favor of larger sizes for a given TV buying budget. Even in China, shipments of 50" and larger sizes are growing strongly, and it may become the only region outside of North America to reach a 10% mix of 50"-plus unit shipments by 2015.

LCD TV shipments will rise to 225 million units in 2012, up 9% year-over-year. LCDs will account for more than 82% of all global TV shipments in 2011, up more than 88% in 2012, as demand for plasma falls and OLED TVs arrive late in the year in small quantities and at high prices. LCD is now a strong competitive technology at all sizes and should climb to more than 95% share by 2014, as CRT fades and OLED is slow to grow, says the firm.

Premium features continue to grow, like LED backlights and 3D, and are keeping LCD TV average prices very stable, falling just 6% year-over-year on a volume weighted basis in 2011, the slowest year of LCD TV price erosion yet.

Price erosion will be about the same in 2012 before picking up to 7% to 8% per year through 2015, but much less than the 24% decline seen in 2009. However, with the slower ASP erosion, total LCD TV revenue growth should remain positive through 2013 at 1% to 3% annually. The share of LED backlights in LCD TV shipments is expected to be about 46% in 2011, rising to nearly 68% in 2012. 3D will account for around 3% of LCD TV units this year.

Plasma TV units grew 30% in 2010 as a result of favorable pricing advantage over LCDs, but as that advantage has narrowed in 2011, shipments are expected to fall 11% to 16.3 million units. The decline in unit growth and weak profits has led manufacturers to focus on more profitable segments, even at the expense of unit growth. As a result, plasma TV shipments are projected to fall to fewer than 10 million units by 2015.

The first OLED TV shipments are expected in the second half of 2012, but due to prices that are expected to be well above $4,000 initially and remain significantly higher than mainstream high-end LCD TVs, they will only grow to about 2.5% of the 40"-plus segment by 2015, says NPD DisplaySearch.

The worldwide forecast for 3D TVs slightly increased to more than 23 million units in 2011, with better than expected growth in emerging markets and Europe. By contrast, demand in North America has been surprisingly soft for 3D, and may only reach 3.6 million units in 2011, as US consumers remain price sensitive. Eventually though, North America will see a rise in 3D adoption as a result of stronger preference for 40"-plus sizes, where the 3D feature is common and expected to be less costly. Globally, 3D TV is expected to rise to more than 100 million units shipped by 2015.

Emerging regions, including China, Asia Pacific, Latin America, Eastern Europe, and Middle East/Africa, will account for the majority of flat panel TV growth over the next four years, averaging 11% growth each year, while developed regions decline an average of 1% each year. In fact, China has become the largest market for flat panel TVs and will continue to be throughout the forecast period. The Asia Pacific region is positioned for strongest growth, as the late-adopting India market begins to boom.

Page 278 of 456