STAMFORD, CT -- Worldwide combined shipments of devices (PCs, tablets, ultramobiles and mobile phones) are projected

to reach 2.4 billion units in 2014, a 4.2% increase from 2013, according to Gartner, Inc. 

"2014 will be marked by a relative revival of the global PC market," said Ranjit Atwal, research director at Gartner. After declining 9.5% in 2013, the global PC market (desk-based, notebook and premium ultramobile) is on pace to contract only 2.9% in 2014. 

"Business upgrades from Windows XP and the general business replacement cycle will lessen the downward trend, especially in Western Europe," said Atwal. "This year, we anticipate nearly 60 million professional PC replacements in mature markets." The traditional PC market (desk-based and notebook) will follow the same downward trend and is on pace to contract 6.7% in 2014 and 5.3% in 2015. 

Table 1. Worldwide Device Shipments by Segment (Thousands of Units)

Source: Gartner (June 2014)

As with any devices, adoption goes through phases from the early to the late adopter; tablets are currently moving onto the latter part of that curve in mature markets. Gartner estimates that sales of tablets will see a relative slowdown in 2014 to reach 256 million units, an increase of 23.9%  from 2013. Lower demand from users for tablets with smaller screens, some in favor of larger screens, in mature markets, and the shift towards phablets in South-East Asia are slowing global tablet penetration. "The next wave of adoption will be driven by lower price points rather than superior functionality," said Atwal.

Sales of mobile phones are expected to reach 1.9 billion units in 2014, a 3.1% increase from 2013. Sales of smartphones, which exceeded those of the rest of the market in 2013, will continue to do well, and Gartner estimates that smartphone sales will represent 88% of global mobile phone sales by 2018 — up from 66% in 2014.

In the OS market, Android and iOS are driving the growth with a 30% and 15% increase, respectively, in 2014. "We expect the announcement of the new Apple iPhone 6 will attract pent-up demand for users who want a larger screen," said Annette Zimmermann, research director at Gartner. "Windows phones will exhibit strong growth from a low base in 2014, and are projected to reach a 10% market share by 2018 — up from 4% in 2014."

Table 2. Worldwide Device Shipments by Operating System (Thousands of Units)

Shipments include mobile phones, ultramobiles (including tablets) and PCs

Source: Gartner (June 2014)

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