FRAMINGHAM, MA – The decline of the worldwide tablet market is set to continue for the remainder of 2016 as year-over-year shipment growth will fall an all-time low 11.5% to 183.4 million units.

Growth is set to return in 2018 and continue through 2020 with shipments reaching 194.2 million tablets as detachable tablets continue to steal share from traditional PCs, adds IDC, a market research firm.

"Appealing to the commercial audience will be key as detachable tablets aim to take a larger piece of the traditional PC market," said Jitesh Ubrani, senior research analyst with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Device Trackers. "Windows and iOS already have solid detachable offerings and with the latest version of Android, Google will also have a horse in the race as they finally offer better multitasking support and added security features."

With the shift toward detachable tablets, IDC also expects small tablets to cede share to larger devices. In 2016, 55% of all tablets will be 9" or smaller. By 2020, however, this share is forecast to drop to 40%. "We see smaller slate tablets being offered at very aggressive price points, leaving little room for revenues outside of a pure volume or platform play like for Amazon for instance," said Jean Philippe Bouchard, research director at IDC. "The price pressure combined with a healthier demand on larger screen sizes and detachable tablets will eventually result in an increased portfolio offering from tablet and PC manufacturers."

Although detachable tablets capture the spotlight, slate tablets will continue to account for the majority of shipments throughout the forecast. In 2016, 85% of all tablets shipped will be slates and this will decrease to 68% by 2020. Most of these will be destined for emerging markets where consumers seek out any low cost computing device.

Worldwide Tablet Share Forecast by OS 2015 - 2020

OS

2015

2016 Forecast

2020 Forecast

Android

67.4%

66.2%

57.8%

iOS

23.9%

22.4%

22.9%

Windows

8.6%

11.3%

19.3%

Total

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Tablet Tracker, August 30, 2016

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